My students asked me to address the effects on health of climate change in class today. When I started putting things together it became very clear that global health will be severely affected by three things: climate change, peak oil and over-population. Then, just as we begin to address these inter-related crises, we find out that global capitalism was built on fraud and is collapsing down around our ears, eliminating trillions of dollars in paper wealth. This was the money we would be using to re-tool the auto industry, to build alternative energy systems like solar and wind and tidal power, develop agriculture without oil-based pesticides, herbicides and fertilizers, and now it’s gone.
Let’s back up. Why did I say that that these three things, peak oil, climate change, and over-population, are inter-related? The global addiction to fossil fuels made possible cities, trade and agriculture by fueling modern transportation, agricultural machinery and fertilizers (made from oil). This is not to mention all the other products made from or with the help of oil and coal: plastics, steel, aluminum, etc. The result is too many people for the planet to sustain and widespread ecosystem destruction. Just in time, we developed enough science to figure out what we were doing to our planet. Also just in time, we’re running out of oil. Unfortunately, we still have a lot of coal. There are too many people and we’re ruining every ecosystem on the planet (air, water, soil and ocean) by burning fossil fuels to try and feed them all. This is unsustainable. Everyone knows this is true. So this is the triple whammy
So now we gear up to address these issues and save the planet and some kind of human civilization, albeit with a much reduced lifestyle. So what happens? We find out that globalization has been created from a cocktail of fraud, greed, deception, and various ponzi schemes and illegal wealth creation.
My students call me “Dr. Doom and Gloom” and they’re right. Things don’t look very good right now:
- Commercial fish populations are collapsing and ocean “dead zones” are growing larger. No fish to eat,
and no jobs for people who fish.
- Agricultural soils around the world are losing their fertility from the application of commercial
fertilizers, pesticides and herbicides. No food to eat and no food to sell.
- Temperatures are rising. Never-before-seen levels of drought are happening in China, Australia, Texas,
Argentina, the U.S. upper mid-west, and Brazil. Even less food to eat and farmers starving.
- Social unrest is rising sharply. Mexico is in chaos, food riots are on-going around the world. Protests
and riots are happening in Greece, Guadaloupe, Latvia, Ireland, Iceland, Spain, Pakistan, India, and China.
- Global economic measures are collapsing. Global shipping is down 75%. Ports are sitting idle. People
are losing their jobs. Less is being produced, and people can’t buy things anyway. Global demand drops.
- Therefore, global spending is way down. No one is buying because they’re just trying to survive.
- Internal tensions are rising in many countries because people can’t buy food, obtain housing or schooling
or medical care. This will give rise to civil wars and regional wars.
- Access to the last drops of oil are drying up. This means more wars.
How can we possibly work together to solve the problems of the triple whammy when there is no global wealth, everyone is suspicious of everybody else, and people are simply trying to stay alive? What will we do when the temperature rises so much that billions of people will be forced to abandon low-lying areas of the world? Can we absorb the refugees? How will we feed them?
Got any suggestions? I’d like to hear them.